← GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.9%
avg ELO -5.9 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1354
· median 1354
· range 1280–1427
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1217
Q3 1440
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.0% | -11.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.6% | -6.1 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
